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        勿走進“升學率”的誤區 - 各區中考升學率盤點

        2016-09-23 17:06:41
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        大家瀏覽整篇文章之前,我先拋一個問題,你所在區縣的升學率非常“高”或者“低”,跟你有實質關系么?如果看不太明白這個問題,我換個說法:一個區縣中,定位5%、10%、15%、20%...60% 的學生,他們對于區縣的“優”、“劣”評價是否會一樣?

        文章分為3個版塊:

        1)升學率總結

        2)區縣升學率詳情

        3)什么樣的考區更好?

        一、升學率總結

        按照大家關心的“市重點率”、“區重點率”、“普通高中率”,我們先給出總表。

        按照市重點率排位:靜安、黃浦、徐匯位列前三;嘉定、浦東、崇明位列后三位。

        我們是否可以按照市重點率來斷定一個結論:黃浦是“幸福”的、浦東是“悲傷”的?

        如果想不明白,不妨再深入再思考幾個問題:

        1)把黃浦和浦東的市重點都拿出來遛一遛,比較一下“優質高中率”。

        2)想一想孩子的具體定位,如果你的目標是建平、進才,黃浦是否“幸福”

        3)如果你的成績是在黃浦市重點邊緣晃蕩,哪個考區更加“幸福”?

        “我想上一個市重點”,這種定位是抽象的、模糊的。你需要把目標具象到“我想上xx學校”,再來比對區縣。

        如果想不明白,可以看第二部分的詳情。

        二、升學率詳情

        這里面不贅述,大家找到自己需要的區縣,看數據即可。

        算法如下:

        市重點率 = (推優+自薦+零志愿+名額分配+本區市重點高中平行志愿)/考生基數。

        區重點率、普通高中率算法相同。注意的是:區重點率包含市重點率,普通高中率包含區重點率。

        三、什么樣的考區更好?

        下表是大家會在5月份都需要填報的中考志愿表,4年的初中學習最終都需要通過這張表來體現成果。

        從志愿表里面,我們需要讀出上海中考錄取的幾個特性:

        1)批次多:不光有提前批,還有統一批,而且統一批還有零志愿、名額分配、平行志愿3個批次

        2)選擇多:前前后后加起來,至少可以填17個志愿。

        3)依次錄取,有考分在,就不怕落檔。

        這三個特性,是值得大家思考的,大家在最終的中考中,其實并不是憑運氣、拼概率去“賭”某一所學校,而是可以根據自己的成績,去圈定一個范圍內的學校,從這個層面上講,具有以下特性的考區更有優勢:

        1)學校多,分層合理,梯度恰當

        2)往上有沖刺的空間,可以沖高

        3)往下有保底的學校,不怕落檔

        參考這3點,大家把上面的區縣挨個考量一遍,看看是否會有結論?我不說我的答案,會有偏頗之嫌。

        說這么多,只想讓大家去想明白一個問題:當你去選擇一個考區的時候,升學率和你半毛錢關系都沒有,想想以后要上什么學校。

        多思考、勿跟風。

        別被高升學率迷惑。

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